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UK businesses witnessed most rapid growth in activity in nearly a year


Robert Besser
26 Apr 2024

LONDON, UK: Preliminary purchasing managers' data revealed that British businesses experienced their most rapid growth in activity in nearly a year this month, indicating a stronger rebound from last year's mild recession than anticipated by economists.

The S&P Global UK Composite Purchasing Managers' Index, which encompasses services and manufacturing sectors, surged to an 11-month peak of 54.0 in April, surpassing all expectations in a Reuters poll of economists.

The upswing was particularly pronounced in the services sector, with the index climbing to 54.9 from 53.1, signaling robust growth. However, the manufacturing sector unexpectedly dipped into contractionary territory, with its index falling to 48.7 from 50.3.

Chris Williamson, chief business economist at S&P Global Market Intelligence, interpreted the data as indicative of the economy expanding at a quarterly rate of 0.4 percent in April, up from the estimated 0.3 percent in the preceding three months.

"Early PMI survey data for April indicate that the UK economy's recovery from recession last year continued to gain momentum," he said.

While the surge in growth is promising, it comes with challenges. Business costs escalated at the quickest pace in nearly a year due to rising wages and elevated prices for transportation and raw materials. This could prompt businesses to raise prices, potentially complicating the Bank of England's efforts to steer inflation towards its two percent target.

Although inflation is expected to dip below two percent in the current quarter, the BoE predicts a rebound towards three percent later in the year. However, BoE Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden expressed optimism about inflation remaining near two percent.

Financial markets anticipate rate cuts by the BoE this year, with the first cut possibly occurring in June or August. However, the robust business expansion poses a dilemma for the central bank as it navigates between supporting economic growth and managing inflationary pressures.

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